Showing posts with label Ireland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ireland. Show all posts

Friday, September 25, 2020

Politically--not legally--logical decision: EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager to appeal humiliating defeat in Apple-Ireland "state aid" case

Of the three key decisions that were scheduled for today, the least important one (a Nokia v. Daimler patent infringement ruling in Munich) has been pushed back on very short notice by more than a month, and the second one will be announced any moment now (and probably will have been announced by the time you read this, unless you're an early bird catching a premature worm):

According to the Financial Times, which is the European Commission's favorite media outlet when it comes to leaking competition-related (and many other types of) decisions, EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager has persuaded enough of the other commissioners that the Directorate-General for Competition (DG COMP) can appeal Apple and Ireland's victory in the EU General Court, which held that the Commission's "state aid" decision alleging favorable tax treatment of Apple by Ireland was baseless. The final decision will be made by the Court of Justice of the EU (CJEU), which is based in Luxembourg like the EU General Court (which was previously called Court of First Instance) and focuses exclusively on questions of law, not fact--which is a huge problem for the Commission given that the factual findings didn't support its decision in the first place.

This blog has been--and obviously has no reason not to continue to be--critical of the Commission's 13-billion euro decision (by now there's even another billion and a half in play, it appears), which was deficient, self-contradictory, and hard to reconcile with the Commission's acceptance of special tax rules in other parts of Europe that do look like state aid at first sight.

25 years ago, I actually recommended to Blizzard Entertainment (now part of Activision-Blizzard) to set up an Irish subsidiary to benefit from the low corporate tax rate there that was available to foreign investors meeting certain requirements. I had previously met officials of the Irish Development Agency at Software Publishers Association (SPA) Europe conferences, and I wanted the best for my client. But it's not the best for Europe. While I'm in favor of fair tax competition, what Ireland has been doing for a long time is just to take advantage of the EU's fundamental flaws.

The EU is a failing experiment of a "supranational" (neither an international organization like the UN, where you need unanimity for all decisions and member countries retain full sovereignty, nor a single nation state) body and the idea of "ever closer (and irreversible) integration." A few U.S. tech giants now have a market capitalization in excess of all publicly-traded companies from all industries in all European countries. Tesla, which just turned 17, is more than twice as valuable as the entire German automotive industry. The Digital Age belongs to America and parts of Asia, and Europe is the continent of losers that is more concerned with its history and diversity, and with taking care of poor neighbors, than its own future. But while the EU fails most of its citizens, some small countries like Ireland and Luxembourg have managed to take advantage of the EU's systemic deficiencies, at the expense of all others. Ireland can offer its low corporate tax rate only because it markets its access to the EU's Single Market, which is about 100 times as large as Ireland's domestic market.

The problem that the founders of the EU and its predecessors faced was that the benefits of integration (stronger together) were as clear as the impossibility--in the past and even today--of getting the governments of its member states to give up all sovereignty, and to convince the populations of particularly southern countries that the continent as a whole would have to accept one set of laws--and a common language, for which English would have been the obvious choice--while still retaining some local traditions, but practically demoting national languages to regional dialects. If the EU had done that, and if the focus had been on building an economy that can compete with places in the world where people simply work a lot harder than in most of Europe, then European digital startups could address a market with half a billion inhabitants, a single language, a single set of laws (even EU directives are not a substitute for a single jurisdiction), and make it big. Instead, the EU is going down the tubes, economically speaking.

It's telling that some of Europe's most affluent countries like Switzerland and Norway aren't EU member states, and with the UK the European country with arguably the best education system has already left.

Instead of realizing and addressing those structural shortcomings, the EU Commission changed direction in a different way over the course of the 2010s: having given up on fair competition, and being unable to cure its own diseases (by the way, the EU has also failed completely to make anything positive happen with respect to the COVID-19 pandemic; actually, open borders made everything worse), the EC opted for protectionism.

That protectionism is reflected by the EU Commission's unwillingness to require Nokia to live up to its FRAND licensing obligations vis-à-vis automotive suppliers, and its new plans for a Digital Services Act designed to give the EU Commission maximum leverage over global tech giants.

Mrs. Vestager has clearly turned a blind eye to antitrust violations by European companies, with only a few token investigations meant to create the perception of a balanced approach to enforcement, while going after each and every U.S. company, no matter how absurd the theory might be.

On the subject of absurdity, the Apple-Ireland "state aid" case was a transparent attempt to scapegoat a successful company that was on the verge of bankruptcy in the 1990s and went on to become the most valuable corporation in the history of the world, without needing any oil reserves to get there. It was a smear campaign, styled as an antitrust decision.

Not only in terms of the amount at stake, but also the extreme contortion of the law and the total absence of facts that would have underpinned those theories, Mrs. Vestager's Apple-Ireland decision has been the most ridiculous Commission ruling to date. The judges of the EU General Court realized this, and tossed it in its entirety. The Commission decision even contained two fallbacks: a Plan B, where the relevant amounts of money would have been approximately 10% of Plan A, and a totally unspecified Plan C. None of the three plans worked out and the appeals court overturned the whole thing.

In order to side with the Commission, the top EU court would have to engage in the most massive miscarriage of justice in its history, and it's not like all of its decisions had been uncontroversial. The Commission's only chance is for that to happen. It's not the kind of appeal that is reasonably likely to succeed. It's a long shot, and the only way for the Commission to prevail would be for the CJEU to place politics above the law just like the Commission did when it decided to bring this appeal.

For Mrs. Vestager personally, but also for the Commission as a whole, this is worth trying even if the chances are extremely slim. It's going to take a couple of years, and by then Mrs. Vestager's going to be nearing the end of her second term as competition commissioner. The embarrassment is going to be even greater then in all likelihood, but later is better than sooner in this case--for the commissioner, for the Commission, not for Europe, which would have a greater benefit from the Commission focusing on real issues, of which there are many, some of which I just mentioned, such as Nokia's abuse of standard-essential patents to the detriment of Europe's automotive industry and IoT startups.

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Sunday, September 20, 2020

Three decisions due on Friday (9/25): FTC v. Qualcomm (en banc petition?); EU "state aid" case against Apple/Ireland (further appeal?); Nokia v. Daimler

By sheer coincidence, three decisions will become known on Friday (September 25) in cases that this blog has previously discussed but which are otherwise unrelated. In two of those cases, competition authorities have to decie whether to turn things around after losing the first appellate decision. In one case, there would definitely be a way, but might not be the political win to keep fighting; in the other case, there would undoubtedly be a will, but there may not be a promising way. Furthermore, a German court will announce a decision on an automotive patent infringement complaint with major antitrust implications.

  1. The United States Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is now approaching the 45-day deadline for a potential petition for a rehearing en banc of a three-judge panel's appellate ruling in Qualcomm's favor.

    Given the high profile of the case, many Ninth Circuit judges might be interested in taking a closer look at the case. But the Republican majority of commissioners (3 vs. 2) has in the past supported Qualcomm, as has the Republican federal government. FTC chairman Joseph Simons recused himself from the case earlier on, but is no longer recused, enabling him to cast the decisive vote (assuming it's still a 2-2 tie between the other commissioners). Car makers and various other technology companies wrote an open letter to the FTC, urging the agency to bring that petition. While the more likely outcome is still that the Republican majority wants to let Qualcomm off the hook, institutional considerations would weigh in favor of a petition for a rehearing, given that the Ninth Circuit panel that decided the case has the potential to complicate antitrust enforcement way beyond the Qualcomm case.

  2. With respect to whether there's a will and a way, it's precisely the opposite outlook in Europe, where Ireland and Apple defeated the European Commission's competition chief Margrethe Vestager in the EU's General Court (formerly known as Court of First Instance).

    The Commission's 13-billion euro decision was deficient, self-contradictory, and hard to reconcile with the Commission's acceptance of special tax rules in other parts of Europe that do look like state aid at first sight.

    Mrs. Vestager's concerns are understandable, but if all of you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail, and her hammer was competition law (in this case, state aid law). There is a problem, but it has to do with the fundamentally flawed architecture of the EU's Single Market. It would have to be solved politically, but realistically won't be. None of those structural issues makes a made-up "state aid" case any more meritorious, though.

    There's no doubt Mrs. Vestager and many others in the European Commission would want to appeal the EU General Court's decision to the Court of Justice of the EU (CJEU). But here's the problem: they'd have to raise a question of law, not fact, and the EU General Court found that the Commission simply lacked the facts to back up its ruling.

  3. Also on Friday, the 21st Civil Chamber of the Munich I Regional Court plans to hand down a decision (which may or may not be a final--though it would be appealable--judgment) in a Nokia v. Daimler case (case no. 21 O 3891/19) over German patent DE60240446C5 on a "hybrid automatic repeat request (HARQ) scheme with in-sequence deliver of packets"). At the late-July trial, the court did not indicate any particular inclination. Daimler disputes the essentiality of the patent-in-suit, its validity, and raised a FRAND defense--all in all, three major hurdles for Nokia to overcome or it will fail to obtain the injunction it's seeking. But Munich is a hotbed for patent--and increasingly also for SEP--litigation. Another panel of judges of the same court just granted Sharp an injunction against Daimler.

    The same panel that will announce the aforementioned decision on Friday will hear another SEp case against Daimler on Wednesday. In practical terms, it's another Nokia v. Daimler case, though the plaintiff is Conversant Wireless, a patent troll asserting former Nokia patents against the Mercedes maker. The patent-in-suit to be discussed on Wednesday is EP2934050 on an "apparatus and method for providing a connection."

    Come November, the Dusseldorf Regional Court will presumably refer to the top EU court a set of legal questions regarding the licensing of SEPs to component makers. The regional appeals courts in other parts of the country may also be hesitant to enjoin Daimler while its suppliers are more than willing to take exhaustive component-level licenses on FRAND terms, at least at a time when the CJEU will be looking into this. But in the meantime, Nokia and its trolls are still trying hard to obtain injunctions against Daimler. Also, Wednesday's patent-in-suit is being asserted by Conversant against Tesla in Mannheim.

    In light of those circumstances making the case more relevant than I'd have thought back when it was filed, I may attend and report on the Wednesday trial. I hope the 21st Civil Chamber will take the necessary measures to prevent coronavirus preventions. On Sunday, a regional government agency said that COVID-19 infections are on the rise again in Munich, with 55.6 infections reported per 100,000 inhabitants over the course of the past seven days (approximately 2.5 times the statewide average). The minister of health of the state of Bavaria rebuked the local soccer club's leadership for sitting next to each other in an otherwise empty stadium last Friday--and that was an open-air event, unlike a patent trial.

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Saturday, January 20, 2018

EU Commission refuses to face reality about Apple's record repatriation tax payment

As I wrote more than two weeks ago, one of the key conflicts to watch in 2018 is The (failed) EU vs. Silicon Valley. Long gone--really long--are the days when European technology companies were among the leading ones in the world. The more digital the world becomes, the more Europe gets marginalized in the most important fields of technology--fields in which Mediterranean statism never succeeded in the first place.

On Wednesday, Apple announced what is a huge victory President Trump and Republicans in Congress: a $350 billion contribution to the U.S. economy over the next five years (that's at a level with the entire public debt of the failed state of Greece) including a $38 billion repatriation tax payment to the Dept. of the Treasury.

That payment is due to the fact that Apple essentially parked money in Ireland at times when U.S. corporate tax rates were much higher. While other politicians thought they could name and shame Apple and other U.S. companies for totally lawful behavior, the dealmaker-in-chief, a businessman himself, simply recognized that the United States faced only two realistic choices: make those companies an offer they can't refuse and get them to bring a lot of money back to the U.S.--or otherwise they'd have to do what's best for their shareholders, which led to the absurd situation of Apple borrowing money so it could pay its dividends while it actually had plenty in Ireland.

When Apple announced that it "expects to invest over $30 billion in capital expenditures in the US over the next five years and create over 20,000 new jobs through hiring at existing campuses and opening a new one," it confirmed that the President's "Buy American, hire American" strategy is working out nicely so far, unlike the EU's failed economic, fiscal and monetary policies. The Trump tax reform is indeed increasing America's competitiveness, and the primary loser is that old, complacent, bleeding-hearted continent run by politicians who have everything in mind (even Africa) but the competitiveness of their economies in the digital age and opportunities for their citizens.

The EU "state aid" "case" against Apple--formally, against Ireland, which the EU even sued last year for alleged non-compliance with a ruling to recover "up to" 13 billion euros--is still on appeal. Last February I criticized the EU decision (after reading it a couple of times in full detail), among other reasons for misrepresenting an important thing:

In its decision, the Commission does recognize that under Irish tax law a company can be registered in Ireland without being subject to Irish taxes. The Commission describes those companies as "stateless," which again sounds like "never paying taxes anywhere, anytime" and is not the way it is: if a company is registered in Ireland but practically operates outside of Ireland and is managed in the U.S., its profits will be subject to U.S. taxes, just that the point in time when this occurs depends on repatriation.

The EU Commission doesn't say that such companies cannot legally exist. It's all about allocation: it's about how much is taxed in Ireland (and, in that case, taxed immediately) versus how much can be kept in Ireland for a while but will ultimately be subject to U.S. repatriation tax.

Now "the point in time when this occurs" is near. Apple is going to make that payment. A reporter then asked a spokesman for EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager at a daily Brussels press briefing what bearing Apple's U.S. tax payment would have on the EU "case." Reuters reports that Mrs. Vestager's spokesman said "nothing has changed" with a view to that matter. He obviously had to say so. The only alternative would have been for the EU to recognize its fundamental legal error and drop the "case."

At this stage of proceeding, the Commission is just a party to the case. Since both the Commission and the judges on the EU courts are appointed by the same national governments, it's not a given that Apple will be treated fairly, but at least there is the possibility of the judges finding the "rationale" underlying the Commission decision so irrational that they'll overturn Mrs. Vestager's decision.

I actually agree with her spokesman in the sense that "nothing has changed" about the decision having failed to distinguish between tax avoidance and deferred taxes (see this explanation by Apple and another one by Fortune). What has changed is the tax rate for Apple in the U.S., and that made it a better choice for Apple to repatriate mountains of cash. But the overall cross-jurisdictional framework, with the deferred tax system in the U.S. that applied to the years at issue in this "case," hasn't changed retroactively. The idea of any of Apple's money ever having been "stateless" (not taxed by anybody) was a complete misconception.

What has changed, however, is that it's now just a matter of legal structures but (additionally) a matter of fact. Apple can point to its U.S. repatriation tax payment and, on that basis, focus the whole debate on allocation (how much of its taxes it owes in the U.S. and how much in Ireland) as opposed to tax avoidance.

Considering that Apple's products are designed and engineered in the U.S., and not even manufactured in Europe, it shouldn't be hard to understand that most of Apple's taxes are due in the U.S., too. It doesn't make sense to me that the Commission wants Ireland to collect €13 billion (almost $16 billion), almost half as much as the $38 billion Apple expects to pay as a U.S. repatriation tax. If those EU jurisdictions got even 20% of the amount Apple pays in the U.S., that would already seem very high (almost outrageous, actually) to me.

While nothing has changed about what the law was in the years the EU "case" relates to, it's now easier than ever for the judges to see that Apple never engaged in tax avoidance. The Commission can no longer argue that Apple's "stateless" subsidiaries would never ever pay taxes anywhere.

What Apple announced this week ups the political ante for Mrs. Vestager in three ways:

  1. The kind of propaganda that influenced public and political sentiment in the past won't work anymore.

  2. While the details are not known, there's no question that an unjustified "recovery" of taxes from Apple by Ireland (under pressure from Brussels) affects the United States. At a minimum, any taxes Apple is required to pay in Europe reduce the amount of money it can repatriate. Possibly, there are other implications as well. So there is a potential a major political conflict between the United States and the EU.

  3. Mrs. Vestager wields a big stick but depends on being backed by the governments of the EU member states. I haven't managed to find out what positions various governments have communicated to the EU court. There is, however, a possiblity of some governments now recognizing that Mrs. Vestager's approach is not going to be fruitful. Apple's public statement emphasizes that jobs are going to be created in the U.S., while Apple doesn't do much more in Europe than sales and marketing. The EU Commission's antagonistic attitude does nothing to spur investment in Europe. It just benefits the United States--and President Trump. It could be that some EU member state governments will understand this and be ever less prepared to back Mrs. Vestager's crusade.

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Monday, March 6, 2017

The EU Commission's Plan B in the Apple-Ireland "state aid" case: make Apple pay $1.2 billion

Several readers asked for a more specific number after I wrote last month that the European Commission's secondary line of reasoning in the Apple-Ireland "state aid" decision of last August (PDF) would come down to approximately one billion euros (not 13 billion).

The secondary line of reasoning is outlined in paragraph 355 of the EC decision. The gist of it is that the Commission looked at the profitability of other distribution companies and concluded that 3% on sales is an industry-standard profit margin. The numbers themselves are stated in paragraph 97 of the EC decision, with Table 1 (the one relating to ASI, meaning Apple Sales International) being economically relevant and the numbers for AOE (Apple Operations Europe) being pretty much negligible. So, let's apply the standard Irish corporate tax rate of 12.5% (a) to ASI's pre-tax profit as under the Commission's primary line of reasoning ("Plan A profit" column in my table below) and (b) to a hypothetical distributor profit of 3% of ASI's sales ("Plan B profit" column in my table below).

As in paragraph 97 of the EC decision, the numbers below are stated in millions of dollars. Wherever the Commission stated a range, I based my calculation on the middle of the range. Please note that the sum at the end may deviate slightly from the sum of the numbers above it simply due to rounding. Any such differences are negligible.

YearASI SalesPlan A profitPlan B profit
20031 68216550
20042 22326867
20054 068725122
20065 6261 180169
20076 9511 844209
200810 3783 127311
200915 4045 662462
201028 68012 140860
201147 28122 1341 418
201263 25035 2501 898
201362 75026 7501 883
201467 77524 7502 033
total316 068133 9959 482
12.5%:16 7491 185

The Plan A total of $16.7 billion is more than the €13 billion (i.e., approximately $14 billion) that the Commission said would be the starting point for additional taxes to be paid by Apple. But there are explanations for that. Some numbers must be deducted even under the Commission's Plan A, and currency fluctuations explain the rest. ASI's numbers are stated in US dollars but Ireland is a eurozone country. So, basically the EU Commission wants to apply Ireland's 12.5% standard corporate tax rate to ASI's (and AOE's) pretax profits in the relevant period, and that's why an amount of approximately $14 billion has been mentioned over and over.

Under Plan B, however, that recovery amount goes down to approximately $1.2 billion, or less than a tenth of the number that has been making headline news since late August.

Why does the Commission even outline that Plan B in its decision? In paragraph 356, the Commission "contests" that anything other than its Plan A is correct, yet uses it as a fallback line of reasoning in order to argue that Ireland didn't tax ASI on the basis of "a reliable approximation of a market-based outcome in line with the arm's length principle." It may not be the only way in which that EU Commission decision is unusual, but it is the most conspicuous one.

It would not have been unusual at all for the Commission to present two or three legal theories that arrive at materially the same result. If the EC had presented one theory based on Irish statutory law, one based on Irish case law and one based on EU law ("acquis communautaire"), and if all had pointed in the same direction, then that would have made the case stronger, not weaker. I've seen parties make multiple arguments that support a claim, and I've seen judges present more than one theory just to bulletproof their rulings before an appeal. But in all those cases, two or more theories support the same conclusion. Not so here. The Commission's Plan A (tax ASI's pretax profits at a rate of 12.5% even though Irish tax law and even the Commission itself recognize that companies essentially run outside of Ireland need not be taxed there at all) and its Plan B (apply the 12.5% rate to a hypothetical profit amounting to 3% of ASI's sales) share at least one fatal deficiency: the "arm's length principle" as discussed in great detail by the EC in its decision is neither part of Irish statutory law nor Irish case law on the taxation of such entities and the treatment of inter-company charges within a global group. I already talked about that fact last month.

So the fact that there are two theories--with a huge discrepancy (more than a factor of 10) between the results-doesn't make the case as a whole more solid. What must the Commission's approach then be attributed to?

No matter how one looks at it, the fact that there is a Plan A amounting to $14 billion and also a Plan B amounting to less than 10% of that (and even a Plan C, but there is such a lack of specificity at least in the redacted version of the decision and presumably even in the unredacted one that it's impossible to analyze) shows that the Commission is very unsure of what it's doing here.

Let's think of a fictitious parallel. There's one person, Mr. A, demanding money from another person, Mr. B. A tells B that the amount owed is 10 grand, but even if one applied a different theory, it would still be 1 grand, so in A's opinion there can be no opinion that A is right in some way.

The answer most likely lies in politics. The Commission isn't going to collect any of that money itself; it can only (and this is obviously subject to judicial review) order Ireland to collect something from Apple. The Commission wants the amount to be huge, but the Commission would still claim victory as long as any noteworthy amount (and a billion dollars is a lot as long as one doesn't know or consider that the Commission said $14 billion was roughly the right figure) ended up being paid. They would basically say: "Maybe we missed the correct number by a factor of more than 10, but there can be no doubt that we really had to do something in order to right a wrong!" In other words, they'd deny that they wasted taxpayers' money on an investigation of a non-issue.

It may not be necessary for me to reiterate this because I've taken a consistent position on this matter in several posts by now, but I don't even see a reasonably convincing basis on which Ireland would have to collect $1.2 billion. The correct outcome would be for the CJEU to tell the EC that this is all bogus. I just wanted to provide some quantitative analysis in order to complement my previous post on this subject.

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Monday, February 20, 2017

The case against the EU "state aid" case against Apple: 13 billion euros out of thin air

When Apple is party to a litigation, the numbers involved tend to be huge. Sometimes the numbers are just the nature of the beast and there is underlying merit. But not always. Apple itself and, far more frequently, its legal rivals sometimes blow things out of proportion and/or make assertions one doesn't really have to agree with. Case in point: it's been almost three years since I described an Apple damages claim over five software patents as "an objective insanity," and when that case went to trial, a damages claim of well over $2 billion got contracted to an award of roughly 5% that number which (along with a temporary decision by an appeals court to dismiss the entire case) suggests that my criticism wasn't baseless.

The EU "state aid" case against Apple (technically against Ireland, but for all practical intents and purposes against Cupertino) is also an objective insanity. I've read the 130-page decision by the European Commission more than once, and the closer I looked at it and the more I thought about it, the less sense it made to me. I don't think a court that respects itself and its laws can possibly conclude that Ireland granted "state aid" amounting to roughly 13 billion euros to Apple.

Shortly before Christmas, and right before the Commission published its decision, the Irish government provided a summary of its legal arguments against the ruling. Since last summer, senior Apple executives have occasionally voiced their disagreement with Brussels in interviews that were unusual and possibly even unprecedented for a company whose official communications are normally consistent with its approach to product design: minimalistic elegance. For example, Apple's CFO told a German newspaper that the Commission should be ashamed of what it's doing here (which he described as a disgrace for all European citizens).

Ireland's pleas in law and main arguments against the Commission decision were published two weeks ago in the Official Journal of the European Union. Since my post last week on how hypocritical it is of Commissioner Vestager to back the 5% tax rate that applies to the Madeira scheme while alleging that Ireland granted "state aid" to Apple, I've been waiting for Apple's own arguments to be published, and here they are: 14 partly-overlapping pleas.

I'll probably talk about some of those points on other occasions. In this post here I'll just outline why I think this is not a "state aid" case and, actually, not even a "case" by any stretch of the imagination. It's what happens when unelected officials who are not accountable to the people develop an "idée fixe."

Allocation among subsidiaries in different countries has nothing to do with tax avoidance

In its late-August press release, the Commission claimed that Apple's "effective tax rate decreased further to only 0.005% in 2014." That claim portrays Apple as a tax evader that doesn't contribute back to society and fails to pass even the most basic plausibility test because no one, not even a hypothetical merger of a dozen Apple-like companies, could be Ireland's biggest taxpayer that way. The European Commission is all too often a fake news organization--or "very fake news" as President Trump likes to say--and even proud of it (its current president said that you just have to lie when things get serious).

Apple's "effective tax rate" is not what its international subsidiaries pay in one jurisdiction or another. It's what Apple ultimately pays on a global basis, which obviously includes U.S. repatriation taxes. Sooner or later (and it might be sooner rather than later since President Trump hopes to reach an agreement with major U.S. companies on repatriation of overseas funds), Apple would have to bring money back to the U.S. because it can't make dividend payments directly from its Ireland-based operations to its shareholders. At that point, U.S. tax laws would apply, and it goes without saying the tax rate is then not going to be 0.005% or anything like that. Right now it would be more like 35%.

Neither Apple nor Ireland are responsible for a certain asynchronicity of U.S. and European rules governing the taxation of globally-operating corporate groups: while European tax systems (and also the tax systems in many other parts of the world based on what I read) tend to just consolidate a corporation's worldwide income and tax profits in the year in which they were made (no matter where they were made), the U.S. "global deferred" approach focused on when any money gets repatriated.

Until Apple repatriates the money owned by any of its Irish organizations, particularly of Apple Sales International (ASI), it can obviously invest that money. For example, it could make acquisitions. When large U.S. companies with lots of money in the bank in Europe buy European companies (such as Microsoft's deals with Skype and Nokia), they can just use the money they already have in Europe rather than send money over from the U.S. to the selling European shareholders or corporate entities. Then the acquisition targets become subsidiaries of European subsidiaries, and if those deals generate profits, those profits, too, must stay in Europe or will be subjected--as they will be sooner or later--to the U.S. repatriation tax.

In its decision, the Commission does recognize that under Irish tax law a company can be registered in Ireland without being subject to Irish taxes. The Commission describes those companies as "stateless," which again sounds like "never paying taxes anywhere, anytime" and is not the way it is: if a company is registered in Ireland but practically operates outside of Ireland and is managed in the U.S., its profits will be subject to U.S. taxes, just that the point in time when this occurs depends on repatriation.

The EU Commission doesn't say that such companies cannot legally exist. It's all about allocation: it's about how much is taxed in Ireland (and, in that case, taxed immediately) versus how much can be kept in Ireland for a while but will ultimately be subject to U.S. repatriation tax. And that leads us to the second point, which is an incredible legal deficiency of the Commission decision.

There is no basis whatsoever for the "arm's length principle" in EU or Irish statutory or case law

Apple's first plea and Ireland's second and third pleas mention the "arm's length principle" and other pleas involve it indirectly.

When I founded my first limited-liability company in Germany 25 years ago, my tax adviser explained this concept to me. In Germany, it's called "dealings as between third-party strangers," meaning that the business terms of a transaction between myself and a company I own, or between a company and its subsidiaries, have to be reasonable in the sense that one would also, potentially, give that kind of deal to a stranger. If my company bought a laptop for 2,000 euros and sold it to me three days later for 1,000 euros, it would obviously not be the deal it would give anyone else because it just wouldn't make economic sense. However, if my company sold me a laptop today that it bought a year ago, then the commercial value of such a used laptop--and considering that technology has advanced in the interim--may even be less than 1,000 euros.

It's a principle that works very well--though it obviously does keep tax authorities and courts busy--in many jurisdictions. But on 130 pages the European Commission failed to provide a single citation to Irish statutory law or case law that makes it applicable to Apple's inter-company charges in Ireland. The Irish government says it doesn't accept it. Apparently some expert report was provided, too.

Now, theoretically EU rules could require Ireland to apply the principle since EU law can trump national law. But EU law trumps national laws only if a field of law is subject to the acquis communautaire, which is the notion of EU law absorbing more and more parts of national law. However, this ever-expanding nature of EU law (part of the now-failed vision of an "ever closer union") is subject to rules. There must be a democratic process by EU standards. The EU is so undemocratic that one of its past commissioners quipped the EU would have to deny the EU membership in the EU because of its democratic deficit, but even the compromised kind of democracy that the EU has in place is at least partially democratic, with a weak parliament where too many MEPs are directly on the payrolls of corporations and lobby groups and which doesn't have the right of initiative as Nigel Farage recently explained again. So, even the semi-democracy that is called the EU at least has a process in place for what makes something subject to EU law, and that process does involve the European Parliament. The Commission cannot singlehandedly expand the scope of EU law.

There is no EU statute that makes the arm's length principle an EU-wide rule. It's up to the member states to have it or not. The only statute the Commission cites to is the general "state aid" clause, which is not about taxes. There is no EU case law that says the arm's length principle must be applied in all 28 member states. The closest thing that the Commission cites to is a case relating to Belgian tax law, and Belgium, like Germany, simply has the arm's length principle in place in its domestic tax law.

At the fundamentally-flawed heart of the Commission's 130-page decision there is a non-binding recommendation by the non-EU Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) concerning the arm's length principle. The OECD is not a legislative body. It's well-respected in some places and contexts, but so are the International Committee of the Red Cross and the World Economic Forum.

Dozens of pages in the Commission decision talk about how to apply some OECD recommendations to the taxes Apple should have paid in Ireland in the opinion of the EU Commission. Dozens of pages to cite to something that is, in legal terminology, persuasive authority at best. It's the kind of thing one would additionally point to in order to show that there is some sort of political support for a law, but it's not a law all by itself.

What adds insult to injury is that the relevant OECD recommendations were issued in 2010, while the Irish tax authority's decisions at issue in the Apple case are from 1992 and 2007. Even if the OECD guidelines predated the relevant decisions, they wouldn't be or make law, but even less so retroactively...

I can't imagine that the Luxembourg-based EU court will content itself with persuasive authority and, on that basis, tell Ireland what its tax laws have to be, when tax sovereignty at the national level is (for better or worse) a cornerstone of EU rules.

Intellectual property

Apple's third plea in law accuses the Eurpoean Commission of "failing to recognize that [the relevant Apple subsidiaries'] profit-driving activities, in particular the development and commercialization of intellectual property ('Apple IP'), were controlled and managed in the United States."

I've been in this industry for decades and I've been on the distribution side as well as on the product development side (that's where my focus is at this point again), and I've been a mediator between both sides, advising IP owners, IP licensees, scouting for products and negotiating agreements. I'm speaking from three decades of experience when telling you that distribution and marketing are generally (there can be exceptions under rare circumstances that merely prove the rule) much less profitable, especially in the long run, than innovation itself.

If Apple commercialized some of its IP in part through entities registered in Ireland but not subject to Irish tax because value creation entirely or essentially occurred in the United States, it's obvious that Europe can't collect taxes on U.S. innovation anymore than it would be acceptable the other way round. As a product scout and dealmaker 99% of my business was about U.S. innovations being commercialized in Europe; now I'm soon going to launch an iPhone app that is very U.S.-focused in its first release (we'll provide content for international markets a little bit later) and I believe I should be taxed in Europe, the place of product development in that case.

The 13-billion euro amount is just a starting point and even the EU Commission recognizes the number could actually be a lot lower

The Commission decision contains three alternative lines of reasoning and it took me a while to figure out how those theories relate to the recovery claims in the decision.

Paragraph 447 of the Commission ruling says that "all profits from the business activities of [Apple Sales International] and [Apple Operations Europe] should, as a starting point, be allocated to their respective Irish branches for the period 12 June 2003 to 27 September 2014 for the purposes of calculating ASI's and AOE's corporation tax liability under the ordinary rules of taxation of corporate profit in Ireland." This approach is like a parody of Occam's razor. They basically look at the profits of those entities--of which ASI is the one that matters for the most part--and apply Ireland's 12.5% standard corporate tax for domestic companies. That's how they arrive at roughly €13 billion, based on the numbers summarized in paragraph 97 (one table for ASI and one for AOE; taxes would then apply to the "profit before tax" column).

But that's just a starting point since paragraph 448 admits that some deductions might still apply. All of us have received communications from tax authorities and they always tell you, down to the cent, how much you are supposed to pay. Here, the Commission doesn't even go through that exercise, yet elevates itself to the Supreme European Tax Authority without lawmakers ever having formally decided that it should play that role.

Then there is a secondary line of reasoning in paragraph 355. Looking at other distribution companies (different companies, different products, but anyway), the Commission determined that 3% is an industry-standard kind of return for distributors. Now, if you compare the "Profit before tax" and "ASI turnover" columns in Table 1 (paragraph 97), ASI's profitability on sales was between about 10% in 2003 and almost 50% in 2011, with only ranges being provided in the redacted version for 2012-2014, which still show a profitability on sales of more than 50% in 2012 and roughly 40% in the following years. So, if the Irish 12.5% tax rates was to be applied to 3% of ASI's turnover, the Commission's recovery amount would go down to a fraction of 12.5% of what the "Profit before tax" column says. With respect to the years when most of the relevant profits were generated (i.e., recent years), the recovery amount would then be less than a tenth (!) of the Commission's primary line of reasoning. Yeah, the €13 billion figure would be more like one billion on that basis. I'll probably take a closer look at it again.

There is also a third line of reasoning in the Commission decision and it just compares the decisions the Irish tax authority took with respect to Apple's business in 1992 and 2007 to decisions made with respect to other companies. Apparently, Apple's lawyers didn't even get any information on those other decisions, making it impossible for them to defend their client. There's nothing in the decision that even specifies what alternative recovery amount the Commission would deem appropriate on the basis of its third line of reasoning. Basically, the Commission just says "we've looked at other decisions and concluded that Apple got some kind of preferential treatment and you all have to take our word for it."

Brussels bogus. I tend to put "state aid" in quotes when writing about this case. It would look too awkward, though it would be justifiable, to also put the word "case" in quotes.

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Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Hypocritical EU competition chief Vestager going after Apple while backing Madeira tax avoidance scheme

This morning I heard an interesting radio report on the European Commission's long-standing, practically unconditional support of one of Europe's worst tax avoidance schemes. In light of the Ireland-Apple "state aid" case, it would be bad enough if this merely involved the European Commission as an institution. Large organizations rarely manage to be consistent. But this is a lot worse: the very same commissioner who wants Apple to pay approximately 13 billion euros in additional taxes, Danish socialist-populist Margrethe Vestager, has given her blessings to the extension of the infamous Madeira tax avoidance scheme until 2027. The aforementioned radio report quotes her spokesman, Ricardo Cardoso, as saying that "the free trade zone is a job engine for the Madeira region and the Commission is presently not aware of any indication that the related structure is not compliant with [EU state aid] rules." That statement is absolutely ridiculous and I'll debunk it further below.

While my primary focus is and remains on patent policy issues, particularly reasonable patent remedies (mostly, but not exclusively, in connection with standard-essential patents), I do take an interest in other issues of concern to my industry, especially competition policy. There was a time when working on EU affairs was an exciting opportunity for me, but I've always viewed the EU's attempts to promote innovation as pathetic, sometimes self-contradictory (with respect to open source, for example), and in some cases downright laughable. What has me concerned now is that the EU has gone from merely failing to have a positive impact on European innovation to causing serious damage, such as by creating legal uncertainty that threatens to dissuade more and more companies from investing here.

There is no way that what Mrs. Vestager is doing against Apple and other U.S. companies (I also disagree with parts of the positions taken by the Commission in the Google investigation) is going to make Europe's own economy any more innovative or competitive. But that may not be the objective. It could be that this is just about anti-American, anti-corporate populism, and it may be driven at least in part by a desire to demonstrate strength while the EU is dealing with enormous centrifugal forces especially in this election year in several key countries.

When the EU Commission handed down its decision against Apple, it stated explicitly that Ireland's 12.5% corporate tax rate is not at issue. Instead, the Commission has made up a "state aid" case when, in reality, the whole issue, for the most part, comes down to Irish tax law not recognizing the arm's-length principle (I support that principle but on 130 pages the Commission's Directorate-General for Competition wasn't able to show that Ireland recognizes it) and the practical effects of different international tax regimes ("global deferred" system in the U.S. versus immediate taxation of global income in Europe).

Instead of blaming Apple for simply playing by the rules, I'm against Ireland's 12.5% rate because it's an abuse of the EU Single Market: it's not the result of fair tax competition but simply arbitrage at the expense of other countries whose taxpayers have to pay for the infrastructure in 99% of the Single Market. If the Commission proposed a change of Single Market rules so as to eliminate this distortion of fair tax competition, I would totally support it. But instead of focusing on the gap between Ireland's abusive 12.5% rate and a more normal corporate tax rate in the 30% range, the Commission is desperately and unconvincingly arguing that Apple unfairly paid less than 12.5%. In other words, instead of tackling two thirds of the problem (the difference betweeen roughly 30% and 12.5%), the Commission is crying foul over whatever may or may not have happened in the bottom third (i.e., whatever the difference may be between 12.5% and what Apple paid).

The EU may very well be the only club in the world that does not have rules in place to get rid of a member if need be. Any sports club, any automotive club, any stamp collectors or pigeon breeders' club can do it. If a member somehow abused the rules, a majority of members could vote to exclude the misbehaving one--and most of the time it will be enough to just threaten with it. But the EU has a bad design that has gotten worse over the years due to grossly incompetent and unbelievably irresponsible "leaders" pursuing the idea of an ever-closer union. Since Brexit, the tide has turned, except that some people in Brussels don't want to face that fact yet.

Ireland's 12.5% corporate tax rate is still high if you compare it to the tax rates that apply to the so-called International Business Centre of Madeira (IBCM) on the namesake, remote Atlantic island belonging to Portugal. According to its own representations, it offers a reduced corporate tax rate of 5% (five percent!), and this official question by a far-left Member of the European Parliament refers to tax rates "vary[ing] between 1[%] and 5%".

The investigative reporters at Bayerischer Rundfunk ("Bavarian Broadcasting") just don't buy the European Commission's claim that the Madeira tax haven is just part of a regional development initiative designed to attract foreign investment on that remote Portuguese island. Instead, it plays a role in tax minimization schemes employeed by such individuals as

  • former FIFA secretary-general Jerome Valcke,

  • someone who was close to Muammar Gaddafi,

  • soccer player Javier Mascherano (who was convicted of tax evasion in Spain),

  • another famous soccer player, Xabi Alonso, who is being investigated by Spanish authorities, and

  • a German rock band, Böhse Onkelz, that assigned all of its trademark rights to a Madeira-based entity.

Furthermore, companies such as Chevron, its Italian competitor eni, Pepsi and Russian aluminum maker Rusal have set up legal entities there.

Approximately 1,600 legal entities benefit from the rockbottom tax rates of this special deal between Madeira and the European Commission. If this were a regional development program, the objective would have to be to create employment. But the EU is lying about the true purpose. All those Madeira-based low-tax entities combined have created only 2,721 jobs according to official statistics (year 2014), which would be a pretty meager number in and of itself but even overstates the actual effect on jobs since a closer look reveals that many individuals formally hold jobs in several such companies at the time, with each job being counted once even if one person holds, as they found in one case, 300 jobs. If this fact is properly taken into account, the whole Madeira scheme has not had any noteworthy effect on employment.

Time and time again, over the course of 30 years and in one or more cases under Ms. Vestager's auspices, the EU Commission has approved the extension of Madeira's tax regime and has declared it as a category "of aid compatible with the internal market"--now even until 2027.

The Commission's decision against Apple is weak; the Commission's inconsistency is also on display in connection with the Monte dei Paschi di Siena bank bailout; but the Commission's handling of the Madeira scheme, as compared to the fabricated "state aid" allegations in the case relating to Apple's Irish taxes, is more than inconsistent. It's hypocritical beyond belief.

Bavarian Broadcasting quotes a German Member of the European Parliament, Markus Ferber, whose regional party is part of Merkel's government coalition, as saying that the EU can only enjoy credibility vis-à-vis Panama, Singapore or the Bahamas (or Switzerland) if it has its own house in order. Therefore, Mr. Ferber finds it incomprehensible that the European Commission has been tolerating the Madeira scheme so far, despite being alerted to the problem that it constitutes. I agree with Mr. Ferber up to this point, but he forgot to mention the Ireland-Apple case and the praise he heaped a few months ago on Ms. Vestager.

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Monday, December 5, 2016

Recent events make antitrust chief Vestager the EU's second-most powerful left-winger -- but she's isolated

Leading U.S. high-tech companies like Apple (whose "state aid"--it hurts me to use that misnomer even in quotes--case I'll comment on soon) and Google (I recently outlined my differentiated take on the Android antitrust case) are facing a left-wing populist campaign that stretches the envelope of competition enforcement. I believe part of the motivation is that the EU has failed and is failing its citizens in some very critical areas. The EU's failure has many facets, including among other things that it exposes its citizens to suicide terrorism, rapism, other violent crime, and drug trafficking imported from North Africa and Western/Central Asia, does not employ effective measures of the Australian kind to keep people with a high illiteracy rate, poor education (even including "university degrees" that are a joke) and low average IQ from becoming a burden on Europe's social welfare systems, allows Eastern European (from places as far as the former Soviet republic of Georgia) gangs to break into hardworking, honest European citizens' homes (a sacrifice on the altar of "free movement"), and still doesn't have the sovereign debt crisis truly under control.

The EU's all-out antitrust war with the U.S. puts Europe at the risk of an escalating trade war with the Trump administration, which has promised and, even before formally taking over, has already started to make America great again. There is increasing legal uncertainty for investors and job creation. While I have always supported competition enforcement where it is really warranted (such as standard-essential patents), I will make my tiny contribution to rationality by outlining on this blog, not in this post here but going forward, where the EU is right to slam down the antitrust hammer and where it must be stopped--if all else fails, by the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU).

Over the course of only ten days, the three most powerful politicians of the European left have all stepped down, making competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager the second-most influential European left-winger -- but she's basically just a one-eyed among the blind, no more powerful than before in absolute terms and increasingly isolated. A quick timeline:

  • November 24: European Parliament President Martin Schulz, a German social democrat, finally gave up his highly questionable, self-centered quest for a third term that was, or would have been, an outright breach of an inter-party agreement (the European People's Party and Schulz's socialist block had agreed that a conservative would take office in the middle of the legislative term). The former book dealer who had left high school without a diploma may become Germany's new foreign minister (a terrible choice since he insulted Donald Trump) or his party's top candidate in next year's national elections. He presumably wants both but it would be hard to travel the world and campaign at home at the same time. Polls that have been conducted since his decision show that his party, which has committed high treason against the Germans and legal migrants among its blue-collar voter base, does not benefit from his EU-level fame at all: they're still polling around 20%.

    When announcing his return to German politics, Schulz said he wanted to keep working to make people's lives a little bit better every day. He didn't say which people's lives, though.

    The current foreign minister of Germany, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, will become federal president, which is a purely representative, next-to-powerless position.

  • December 1: The weakest French president in my lifetime, François Hollande, made the highly unusual but inevitable decision not to run for reelection. This makes him the epitome of a lame duck until next spring. No matter which candidate his party will nominate, it's virtually certain that the run-off election will take place between Marine Le Pen, who has credibly distanced herself from her father's antisemitism and other radical views and may break through Hillary's glass ceiling (just in another country and coming from another political direction), and Republican nominee François Fillon.

  • December 4: Italian prime minister Matteo Renzi, whose proposals for EU policies came down to an uncreative borrow-and-spend dogma and the idea of opening the floodgates for people who will, not in each individual case but in the aggregate, be a huge burden on our social welfare systems and a threat to our security, has stepped down after completely losing yesterday's referendum over an anti-constitutional reform proposal. While Italy does have a problem with forming stable governments and some reasonable reform may be warranted, Renzi's attempted power grab was rejected for all the right reasons. The big winners were the relatively young five-star movement and my favorite Italian party, the Lega Nord, whose leader, Matteo Salvini MEP, celebrated President-elect Donald Trump, Russian president Vladimir Putin (whom too many European politicians and journalists vilify though he would be a great ally in some ways), French Front National leader Marine Le Pen MEP, and his party in a tweet and Facebook post last night.

Now the leaders of all three European institutions (Council, Commission, Parliament) will soon be members of the European People's Party (EPP). That is exactly why Schulz was hoping to somehow secure a third term, which would have been as unusual in Europe as Franklin D. Roosevelt's extra terms (and like FDR then, Schulz sought to justify it with an unprecedented crisis). In the European Council--where the heads of state and government meet and make the ultimate decisions--EPP and libertarian politicians (and the Tories, which are part of an EU-skeptical block in the European Parliament and whose country is on the way out) control the most important countries, except for a lame duck like Hollande, and lame ducks don't count. In terms of population size and economy, Sweden is now pretty much the most important EU member state with a left-wing leader, though arguably the influence of German and Spanish social democrats as "junior partners" of their national governments is more important given the size of those countries.

With Schulz leaving the European Parliament and the Party of European Socialists (which, by the way, has some Eastern European member parties whose views on migration policy and euro bailouts are similar to mine) being in its weakest position ever in the European Council, we have to turn to the European Commission in our search for Europe's most influential left-winger.

The Commission is the executive branch of the EU government. In EU member states, the position of foreign minister is generally deemed the most prestigious and influential cabinet post. Since there isn't really such a thing as a common EU foreign policy (and now, as a result of Merkel's insane and highly divisive migration policies, less than ever before), it's still the national foreign ministers who are in charge. The EU couldn't even agree (in no small part due to British resistance) to appoint an EU "foreign minister," so the title is "High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy." It's a difficult post for an EU politician to influence things, and Federica Mogherini is a Renzi appointee, which further reduces her influence.

In the member states, the ministers of finance are usually also very influential, and even more so in times of a sovereign debt crisis. However, the EU Commission has a limited budget, so here it's the member states who make the decisions in their "Eurogroup." Dutch labor party politician Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who appears to be rather moderate, not leftist, is the leader of the Eurogroup. He can't decide anything alone but as the public face of the euro currency and the organizer of the meetings where the decisions are made, he's now the most important politician of the European left at the EU level.

In the European Commission, the two most important areas of responsibility besides the presidency are competition and the Internal Market and Services. At times, enlargement (negotiations with potential future member states) is also somewhat interesting, but not now: the EU can't expand while struggling with enormous centrifugal forces, which includes that Italy may hold a referendum on EU membership in the near term.

The current commissioner for the internal market is Elżbieta Bieńkowska, a Polish conservative. So, antitrust commissioner Magrethe Vestager is presently the most influential left-winger in the European Commission. But this is a relative perspective. There is no absolute increase in power. Much to the contrary, she's going to find it harder and harder now to get support for her activism. She does have supporters among EPP politicians but the Party of European Socialists is in its weakest position in a long time.

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